The next war with the Islamic Republic
Replay the Twelve-Day War and the 2026 war strike by strike, then run the next one. Pick who hits first, who joins, what they use, and which experts sit in your war room.
How this works
The model is printed here once the page has loaded.
The wars on this board, and their sources
- True Promise I (April 2024) 2024-04-13 to 2024-04-19
On 13 and 14 April 2024 the Islamic Republic fired about 170 drones, over 30 cruise missiles and over 120 ballistic missiles at Israel, its first direct attack. Israel, the US, the UK, France and Jordan shot down almost all of them, and Israel answered on 19 April with a strike near Isfahan.
- True Promise II and Days of Repentance (October 2024) 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-26
On 1 October 2024 the Islamic Republic fired about 200 ballistic missiles at Israel, hitting Nevatim and Tel Nof. On 26 October over 100 Israeli aircraft struck 20 sites in Iran, destroying air defences and missile fuel mixers.
- The Twelve-Day War 2025-06-13 to 2025-06-24
Israel opened with over 200 jets on 13 June 2025, killing the top commanders and hitting nuclear and missile sites. The Islamic Republic fired over 550 ballistic missiles and over 1,000 drones; the US bombed Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan on 22 June.
- The 2026 war (Epic Fury and Roaring Lion) 2026-02-28 to 2026-04-08
The US and Israel struck together on 28 February 2026 and killed Ali Khamenei on day one. The Islamic Republic fired at Israel and at US bases and oil across the Persian Gulf, shut Hormuz, and kept firing for 40 days until a ceasefire brokered by Pakistan.
- The 13 nights of July 2026 2026-07-07 to 2026-07-29
After the Islamic Republic hit three ships in Hormuz on 7 July 2026, the US struck Iran for 13 nights in a row and brought back its naval blockade. The Islamic Republic fired at US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan.
- The tanker-for-tanker round (30 August to mid-September 2026) 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-15
The US hit launchers, an airport, IRGC sites and the regime's own tankers; the Islamic Republic fired missiles at US bases in Jordan, Kuwait and the UAE. Meanwhile the Houthis took the Bab el-Mandeb.
Everything on the board comes from published reporting and analysis, each with its page. The experts' numbers are my reading of what each one published, not their words. This is a model to think with, not a forecast. Something wrong? Say it in the discussion below and I check it.
Who strikes first in the next round, and how does it end?
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Discussion
The next war with the Islamic Republic
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